Saturday, February 20, 2016
JPL HORIZONS AD 132 Phenomena (Corrected)
When fatigue starts setting in your error rate goes up and that may account for some of the calendar creep. One of my settings for HORIZONS was J2000.0 which doesn't use the reference frame for the dates calculated. There is also a switch for the Julian date and decimal RA and DEC make it easier to check the time of the equinoxes and solstices. I also used apparent solar time and got a better fit to Ptolemy's data.
Date__(UT)__HR:MN JDUT R.A._(a-appar)_DEC.
0132-Mar-19 00:00 1769348.5 357.63697 -1.03602
0132-Mar-20 00:00 1769349.5 358.53070 -0.64442
0132-Mar-21 00:00 1769350.5 359.42378 -0.25287
0132-Mar-22 00:00 1769351.5 0.31632 0.13854
0132-Mar-23 00:00 1769352.5 1.20843 0.52971
0132-Jun-21 00:00 1769442.5 87.33879 23.65461
0132-Jun-22 00:00 1769443.5 88.37944 23.66893
0132-Jun-23 00:00 1769444.5 89.42051 23.67628
0132-Jun-24 00:00 1769445.5 90.46193 23.67666
0132-Jun-25 00:00 1769446.5 91.50360 23.67006
0132-Jun-26 00:00 1769447.5 92.54542 23.65648
0132-Sep-22 00:00 1769535.5 178.07833 0.84227
0132-Sep-23 00:00 1769536.5 178.99124 0.44213
0132-Sep-24 00:00 1769537.5 179.90462 0.04163
0132-Sep-25 00:00 1769538.5 180.81856 -0.35911
0132-Sep-26 00:00 1769539.5 181.73312 -0.75999
0132-Sep-27 00:00 1769540.5 182.64839 -1.16091
0132-Dec-19 00:00 1769623.5 266.83065 -23.64465
0132-Dec-20 00:00 1769624.5 267.94346 -23.66328
0132-Dec-21 00:00 1769625.5 269.05640 -23.67395
0132-Dec-22 00:00 1769626.5 270.16930 -23.67667
0132-Dec-23 00:00 1769627.5 271.28202 -23.67144
0132-Dec-24 00:00 1769628.5 272.39439 -23.65827
Using cubic splines gives the following estimates for the equinoxes. The solstices were found by estimating the zero for the differences.
Mar 21 15:30 Vernal Equinox
Jun 23 01:18 Summer Solstice
Sep 24 02:30 Autumnal Equinox
Dec 21 08:13 Winter Solstice
The astronomical day starts at noon so the morning hours would be on one day and the afternoon hours on the next. If the dates indicated are ordinary Julian calendar dates then Sept 25 12:00 would be Julian date 1769539.0 as previously determined. There is still seems to be a little bit of discrepancy between HORIZONS' and Ptolemy's dates and times.
It might help if we could develop a "personal equation" for Ptolemy as an observer. It might help to characterize the Alexandrians of his time and the members of the Museum.
edit (Feb 28): corrected the time of the summer solstice to 01:18 which is what my saved data indicates.
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